Below is the TPI for all Texas State Board of Education (SBOE) districts.
An election takes place in all SBOE districts in the election cycle following redistricting, such as the current one. With seven members randomly selected to serve another two-year term, members serve staggered four-year terms for the remainder of the decade.
The index is based on district-level results in the statewide general elections of 2018 and 2020 using data obtained from the Texas Legislative Council.
For each year, the TPI identifies each district’s median percentage of votes for Republicans compared to Democrats, excluding third party candidates. The median result for each year is then averaged and rounded to a whole number.
The median vote for Republicans statewide was 53.7 percent in 2018 and 54.8 percent in 2020, so the state as a whole has a current TPI of R-54%. This is a noticeable decline from the 2016-2018 statewide TPI of R-56%.
Like the other district maps that were redrawn by lawmakers last fall, the new SBOE map consists of a mix of Republican and Democrat-leaning districts with the most competitive seats located in South Texas.
Of the 15 districts, six favor Democrats and nine favor Republicans.
The two most competitive districts, both currently leaning toward Democrats, are located in South Texas.
District 2 has a TPI of D-52% and wraps around the coast from the Rio Grande Valley to Matagorda and Wharton counties.
To its west, District 3 has a TPI of D-55% and stretches from the Rio Grande Valley to San Antonio.
The third most competitive seat, District 1, reaches across the rest of the southern border from San Antonio to El Paso and has a TPI of D-58%.
The other Democratic SBOE districts are anchored in the major cities: District 5 at D-64% in Austin; District 13 at D-74% in Dallas; and District 4 at D-74% in Houston.
Among the Republican-leaning districts, the most competitive is District 8 with a TPI of R-58%, which reaches around the sides of Harris and Montgomery counties and into other parts of southeast Texas.
The strongest Republican SBOE seat, District 15, has a TPI of R-77% and covers West Texas and the Panhandle.
A table with the full list of TPI ratings based on the maps being used in the 2022 elections can be found below.
|SBOE District 15||R-77%|
|SBOE District 10||R-67%|
|SBOE District 9||R-65%|
|SBOE District 14||R-64%|
|SBOE District 11||R-62%|
|SBOE District 12||R-62%|
|SBOE District 7||R-59%|
|SBOE District 6||R-59%|
|SBOE District 8||R-58%|
|SBOE District 2||D-52%|
|SBOE District 3||D-55%|
|SBOE District 1||D-58%|
|SBOE District 5||D-64%|
|SBOE District 4||D-74%|
|SBOE District 13||D-74%|
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Daniel Friend is the Marketing and Media Manager for The Texan. After graduating with a double-major in Political Science and Humanities, he wrote for The Texan as a reporter through June 2022. In his spare time, you're likely to find him working on The Testimony of Calvin Lewis, an Abolition of Man-inspired novel and theatrical podcast.