The Back MicThe Back Mic: Top Texas Districts that Swung Toward Trump in 2020

This week — a list of districts that swung the most to Trump.
October 7, 2022
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Trump-Swinging Districts

Among the biggest nationwide phenomena of the 2020 election was the gains Republicans made in South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley especially. Hellbent on accentuating that trend even further, Republicans are betting heavily on the border, hoping that issue will continue the pendulum swing of traditionally Democratic Hispanic voters to their party.

The Texas Legislature drew new districts in accordance with the decennial census. With data from the Texas Legislative Council, that shift can be observed on the new maps.

Below is a list of the top 10 districts in Congress and the two state legislative chambers that posted the highest shifts toward former President Donald Trump from the 2016 election to 2020, along with the matchups for those races this year. Fifteen of the top movers in these three chambers are in or have portions of their districts in South Texas.

The parentheticals indicate the total percentage of the vote Trump received in 2020.

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Congress

  1. 34th Congressional District: +11.64% (41.71%)
    • Mayra Flores (R)* vs. Vicente Gonzalez (D)
  2. 15th Congressional District: +9.42% (50.93%)
    • Monica De La Cruz (R) vs. Michelle Vallejo (D)
  3. 29th Congressional District: +7.56% (31.04%)
    • Sylvia Garcia (D)* vs. Robert Schafranek (D)
  4. 28th Congressional District: +7.52% (45.80%)
    • Henry Cuellar (D)* vs. Cassy Garcia (R)
  5. 16th Congressional District: +5.40% (31.52%)
    • Veronica Escobar (D) vs. Irene Amendariz-Jackson (R)
  6. 23rd Congressional District: +3.38% (52.91%)
    • Tony Gonzales (R)* John Lira (D)
  7. 18th Congressional District: +2.97% (25.06%)
    • Sheila Jackson Lee (D)* vs. Carmen Maria Montiel (R)
  8. 9th Congressional District: +2.90% (22.74%)
    • Al Green (D)* vs. Jimmy Leon (R)
  9. 33rd Congressional District: +1.93% (24.35%)
    • Marc Veasey (D)* vs. Patrick Gillespie (R)
  10. 7th Congressional District: +1.85% (34.44%)
    • Lizzie Fletcher (D)* vs. Johnny Teague (R)

State Senate

  1. District 27: +9.55% (47.01%)
    • Morgan LaMantia (D) vs. Adam Hinojosa (R)
  2. District 20: +8.39% (44.56%)
    • Juan “Chuy” Hinojosa (D)* vs. Westley Wright (R)
  3. District 6: +6.48% (32.68%)
    • Carol Alvarado (D)*, unopposed
  4. District 29: +5.99% (33.25%)
    • Cesar Blanco (D)* vs. Derek Zubeldia (R)
  5. District 21: +5.46% (40.66%)
    • Judith Zaffirini (D)* vs. Julie Dahlberg (R)
  6. District 13: +3.88% (20.77%)
    • Borris Miles (D)*, unopposed
  7. District 19: +3.10% (42.74%)
    • Roland Gutierrez (D)* vs. Robert Garza (R)
  8. District 31: +1.75% (78.23%)
    • Kevin Sparks (R), unopposed
  9. District 3: +1.15% (72.92%)
    • Robert Nichols (R)* vs. Steve Russell (D)
  10. District 15: +1.10% (33.65%)
    • John Whitmire (D)* vs. George Vachris (R)

State House

  1. District 36: +17.93% (41.37%)
    • Sergio Munoz, Jr. (D)*, unopposed
  2. District 35: +17.00% (41.73%)
    • Oscar Longoria (D)* vs. Oscar Rosa (R)
  3. District 38: +15.18% (36.90%)
    • Erin Gamez (D)*, unopposed
  4. District 42: +13.66% (38.15%)
    • Richard Raymond (D)* vs. Joe Brennan (R)
  5. District 40: +13.44% (38.97%)
    • Terry Canales (D)*, unopposed
  6. District 39: +13.16% (39.71%)
    • Armando Martinez (D)* vs. Jimmie Garcia (R)*
  7. District 74: +12.43% (46.93%)
    • Eddie Morales, Jr. (D)* vs. Katherine Parker (R)
  8. District 31: +11.64% (62.07%)
    • Ryan Guillen (R)* vs. Martha Gutierrez (D)
  9. District 75: +11.54% (31.88%)
    • Mary Gonzalez (D)*, no GOP opponent
  10. District 80: +11.03% (51.64%)
    • Tracy King (D)*, unopposed

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Brad Johnson

Brad Johnson is a senior reporter for The Texan and an Ohio native who graduated from the University of Cincinnati in 2017. He is an avid sports fan who most enjoys watching his favorite teams continue their title drought throughout his cognizant lifetime. In his free time, you may find Brad quoting Monty Python productions and trying to calculate the airspeed velocity of an unladen swallow.